Selection Monday is upon us. The Aggie baseball team awaits their fate as the brackets are unveiled this morning at 10:00 a.m. (MDT) on ESPNU (also streaming online on ESPN3.com). It's no secret that the Aggies struggled down the stretch of the season. At one point the Aggies lost nine of ten games and of course the Aggies were sent packing from the WAC tournament after just two games this year. However, their overall body of work, an RPI (as of Sunday morning) that currently sits at 34 (four spots better than a projected "lock" in TCU).
The fact of the matter is that the Aggies were 5-5 in their final 10 games which is the same closing stretch record as projected** NCAA Regional teams Florida, Baylor, LSU, South Carolina, North Carolina State, Kentucky, Arkansas, Cal State Fullerton, Indiana State, Appalachian State and Southeast Louisiana and better than projected NCAA Regional teams Ole Miss
Clemson and East Carolina who all closed season 4-6 and two games better than Florida State who closed 3-7 and it's just one game worse than Miami, Rice, Georgia Tech, UCF, San Diego, Louisville, St. John's, Elon, Wake Forest and Sam Houston State who closed the season 6-4.
** Projections made by PerfectGame.org, Baseball America or ESPN Bracketology
The Aggies have also posted a 12-10 mark against teams that we know are in the NCAA Regionals (Fresno State, Arizona, Rice, Baylor and New Mexico) and that record would jump to 15-11 should Wake Forest make the tournament as projected.
Should the Aggies receive an at-large bid? Based on the numbers we just posted, there's no compelling reason that they should not. Did they finish the season strong? No but as you can see neither did at least a quarter of the projected field and only one game worse over the closing stretch than another ten projected Regional teams.
The Aggies also earned a share of the regular season championship in a conference that was rated the ninth best (RPI-based) ahead of the Big West (12th), Big East (13th), Southland (14th), Mountain West (15th) and Sun Belt (16th) and just one spot behind the WCC (which along with the Big East, Southland and Mountain West are expected to get two teams in the field).
Whether the selection committee rewards the Aggies' overall body of work will be found out this morning. Regardless of the outcome the Aggies put together a season to be proud of, arguably their finest regular season in history considering the level of competition.